The last four starts for Imanaga saw those games stay under the total. Imanaga has only allowed one run, one walk, and one homerun in his last two starts combined. The Royals are going to struggle to hit him so this game shouldn’t see a lot of runs. The total has gone Under in 7 of the Cubs' last 7 games. Lugo has been solid on the mound for the Royals, especially at home and has only given up one run across his last three home starts. He struck out 24 batters in those games and pitched deep. His last start he pitched 9 innings, only giving up 3 hits and one run. The Under is 15-4 in the Royals last 19 games as a favorite. The Cubs who are struggling with offense, off being shut out in the first game of this series, will struggle again to get anything off of Lugo. Head to head, the Under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 meetings in Kansas City. Overall, these two teams are 11-4 to the Under in the last 15 meetings.

Best bet: take the Under the Total.