Nevada is an underrated team that has played well up to now even though their record doesn’t show it. In year one, they are progressing faster than anticipated. They play Oregon State, a team with all home wins except for Oregon, and one road win, but their strength of schedule is hasn't been strong, getting wins over a bad Purdue team, Colorado State and an average FCS team. Now they are on the road playing a night game in the desert against a team that is improving on both sides of the ball and is covering spreads. The last time they played in 2018, Nevada beat Oregon State by 2 points. Nevada is 4-2 against the spread this season. Oregon State is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. There is value in taking the points in this spot.

Best bet: take the points with Nevada.