The Leafs are playing with double revenge having lost both meetings this season with Florida. The Panthers are dealing with injuries and on the road in this spot where they have lost four of their last five road games, so taking the Leafs at home who are 6-2 in their last eight games look like the better team in this matchup, and the Leafs are 23-13-1 at home this season too. Florida is struggling to produce offense and have scored under 2 goals in several games. The Panthers are 6-23 straight up on the moneyline when they score less than 2 goals while Toronto is 27-4 straight up when they allow less than 2 goals per game as they have in their last two games.

Best bet: take the Leafs on the moneyline (ML).