Chattanooga has handled the ball well in this tournament and they haven’t turned over the ball much which is keeping them in this tournament. They are also 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games and have been solid on the road this season too. The Anteaters have been prone to several non shooting lulls in their games and that may give the Mocs the reason to keep this game close, especially if their threes are falling, they can compensate for their weakness in rebounding. Chattanooga did shoot over 52% from the field in their last game and even though the Anteaters are good at defining the interior, the Mocs still have the momentum in this game to keep up playing well like that. The Mocs are also 10-1 ATS in a neutral site or road game this season and they are also 4-0 ATS off an upset win as an underdog too. In this tournament, the Mocs have been underdogs in all four spots. The Anteaters have great defense but they don’t excel at three point shooting, and between that and possible lulls, this will be a tight game, so getting any points is where the value lies. UC Irvine is also 0-6 ATS in tournament championship games going back to 1998 so there is a history there of not covering.

Best bet: take the points with Chattanooga.