UCF looked shaky in their win against Oregon State and lost by 10 points in the regular season to Cincinnati. The Bearcats have looked good on both sides of the ball and are the better defensive team which is going to hurt the Knights and their offense. The Knights have also struggled with their defense this season and gave up over 75 points in their last several games. Also being without 5 key starting players is going to carry over into this game and catch up to them as the Bearcats are the better team with more talent and athleticism and seem to have momentum on their side in this tournament. Even though UCF is better at the free throw line, the Bearcats are good at not getting into foul trouble which should counter a lot of that, and with the much better defense, they have all the edges in this game. The Bearcats are just better so look for them to win and cover in this spot.

Best bet: lay the points with Cincinnati.