The New Mexico State Aggies are a bad team as evidenced by their 1-5 record to start the year. Last week, they were 16.5-point favorites at home to Florida International and lost the game 21-7. The offenses are close to even as New Mexico is 128th in total yards while New Mexico State is 127, but the Lobos have a massive edge on defense and that is where they will win the game in this one. New Mexico State is 118th against the run and that is not good against a team that will run the ball all night long. The Lobos are 90th in rushing, but still, they will have a field day against this defense. New Mexico has also allowed just 22.8 ppg while the Aggies have allowed 32.3 ppg. New Mexico State has averaged just 14 ppg so they will not have enough offense or defense to keep this one close. Lastly, the Lobos are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on turf while the Aggies are 14-30-1 ATS in their last 45 games following a double-digit loss at home.