Stephen Nover Free MLB Saturday Play
(MLB) San Diego vs. Atlanta,
Total: 8.50 | -105.00 Over
Result: Win
The Padres battered the Braves for nine runs on Friday. I don't see San Diego doing nearly that kind of damage against Atlanta today. The Padres are well below average offensively and facing emerging star Sean Newcomb.

Newcomb is coming off a rare poor start this past Sunday against the Dodgers. Prior to that Newcomb had a 1.96 ERA in 11 starts holding foes to a .195 batting average.

Jordan Lyles was once a highly touted pitcher. He's finally showing signs of emerging moving from reliever to starter. He's made seven starts this season holding three opponents to two earned runs or fewer. He's backed by an underrated bullpen.

If you discount an eight-run game against the Mets, the Braves are averaging 2.8 runs in their last seven games.

Both starting pitchers should get a huge boost with Doug Eddings slated to be the home plate umpire. The Under has cashed in 76 percent of the past 26 games Eddings has been behind the plate. Eddings has the highest percentage of strikes called during the last five years than any other umpire.

There isn't much wind, but the wind there is will be blowing in.

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover easily won his MLB Game of the Week on Friday with the Rockies defeating the Rangers by four runs. Stephen has his MLB Total of the Week going today in addition to this free selection. Stephen won 73 percent of his Canadian Football League plays last year and has his CFL Game of the Week going today, too. All of Stephen's premium picks are guaranteed to win!)