This total has come down enough where I'm going to get involved strongly believing that there are going to be a lot of points scored here. There is around a 40 percent chance of rain, but very slight wind. I'll take that in order to get a total this low on this matchup.

There were 92 points scored in last year's matchup won by TCU, 56-36. The Horned Frogs could put up 60 by themselves. SMU gave up 36 points through three quarters to North Texas in its opener, losing 46-23.

TCU shouldn't have any problems against this defense with a balanced attack and quarterback Shawn Robinson looking good last week in a 55-7 opening win versus Southern. Robinson threw for three scores completing 17 of 24 passes and also ran for two more. SMU surrendered 444 passing yards to North Texas State. That doesn't bode well for the Mustangs.

I'm not a fan of SMU coach Sonny Dykes. He is offensive-minded, though, and the Mustangs will be throwing a lot as they aren't going to be able to run the ball against TCU. SMU quarterback Ben Hicks can put up points with his passing. Hicks has thrown the most touchdowns in SMU history. He threw for 3,569 yards and 33 touchdowns last season.

SMU constantly is going to be attacking through the air, something I want an underdog to be doing when I'm going Over a total. I also like that the game is being played on a fast track at Gerald Ford Stadium, which uses FieldTurf.