Stephen Nover's MLB Game of the Week
(MLB) Milwaukee vs. Minnesota,
Money Line: -112.00 Minnesota (Home)
Result: Win
Nothing against righthanded Brandon Woodruff, a pitcher I like. But I'll lay a short home price with the much more powerful Twins and All-Star pitcher Jose Berrios.
Berrios hasn't pitched like an All-Star this season. Note, though, this is just the righthander's third home start. The Twins won both of his previous starts at Target Field. 
Berrios has always pitched much better in Minnesota. Here's a comparison of his home/road ERA: At home - 2.41 ERA in 2017, 3.03 ERA in 2018 and 3.51 ERA in 2019. On the road - 5.17 ERA in 2017, 4.85 ERA in 2018 and 3.84 ERA in 2019. 
Berrios takes on a Milwaukee offense that so far has been way down. The Brewers rank 27th in batting average, 24th in runs and 24th in homers. 
The Twins led the majors in homers last year setting a record. They are seventh in homers this season. 
The Twins have won their last seven home games when facing a righty starter. Milwaukee is 6-13 the last 19 times going against a righty starter.