Merrimack just held Bryant, the fourth-highest scoring team in the nation, to 76 points in its last game. That was nearly 10 points under Bryant's season average. If you discount that game, though, Merrimack is surrendering just 54.8 points per game during their past five contests. 
St. Francis of Brooklyn has gone Under in 10 of its last 14 road games. I see the Terriers struggling offensively here, too, dealing with the Warriors' zone defense and slow tempo. 
Merrimack ranks in the bottom-20 in offensive efficiency. The Warriors also are among the worst 20 teams in free throw percentage. They average fewer than 66 points a game. The Under has cashed in 20 of Merrimack's past 27 games.  
There were not more than 111 combined points scored in either of the team's two meetings last season.