This total may seem a little low because Christian Javier is one of the starters. But it's not. Javier has a 2.30 ERA in his last three starts and is a proven big-game pitcher. He has a 2.20 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in 32 2/3 postseason innings. Javier is backed by an Astros bullpen that had the sixth-lowest ERA during the regular season.

The Twins have reliable Sonny Gray on the hill. He had a 2.79 ERA in 32 starts spanning 184 innings in the regular season. He pitched five scoreless innings against the Blue Jays in the wild-card series. Gray has a 2.39 ERA in five career playoff starts and a 3.03 ERA in 12 career starts versus Houston.

The kicker is that Bill Miller is slated to be the home plate umpire. He's known for a generous strike zone. The Under cashed 57 percent of the time in his 28 games behind the plate this year.