Stephen Nover's NFL Free Sunday Play
(NFL) NY Giants vs. Dallas,
Point Spread: 7.00 | -105.00 NY Giants (Away)
Result: Loss
A top-five offense and improved defense make Dallas the solid choice to capture the NFC East Division.

But this isn't enough to give value to the Cowboys laying a touchdown to division rival New York.

This is a huge game for the 1-3 Giants if they want to get back into the division race. If it weren't for losing two games on field goals at the gun, the Giants would be 3-1. Their defense has been disappointing. However, Daniel Jones is playing the best ball of his career by limiting his turnovers. He's had just two all season.

Saquon Barkley is rounding back into his former elite form getting better each week and for the first time the Giants will start the same offensive line as they had the previous week. Jones won't have injured Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton. The Giants, though, have excellent wide receiving depth with key free agent signing Kenny Golladay to go with emerging rookie Kadarius Toney and John Ross, who could show something now that he's finally healthy.

Dallas' defense is better, but is still far from elite. The Cowboys remain without their top pass rusher, injured DeMarcus Lawrence.

The Cowboys traditionally are bad in this role, failing to cover 10 of the last 14 times when favored.

The Giants, on the other hand, are 20-6 ATS as a road underdog. If given plus seven points, the Giants would be 12-2-1 ATS the past 15 times as a 'dog.

Dallas is going to get its points here. But I don't see the Giants blinking. They are going to keep up making this a close game.

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is well on his way to beating the NFL for the 25th time in the last 28 years on a 12-3 hot streak. Stephen has five premium NFL plays today in addition to this free selection. Don't miss any of his winners. All of his plays come with his signature deep analysis and are guaranteed to win.)