Stephen Nover's NFL Chalk Game of the Month
(NFL) Tampa Bay vs. Washington,
Point Spread: -9.50 | -110.00 Tampa Bay (Away)
Result: Loss
This is a real bad matchup for Washington. Tom Brady entered his bye last week leading the NFL in passing yards and TD's. He's on pace to throw for 5,631 yards and 53 TD's. Slowing down at 44? I think not.

Washington is last in pass defense and 29th in scoring defense and total yards. Washington just lost pass rusher Montez Sweat, too. So Chase Young, who has only 1 1/2 sacks, can forget about any single blocking.

Backup QB Taylor Heinicke's limitations - lack of height, arm strength, decision making - are becoming more exposed as the season progresses. The Buccaneers know about him after beating Washington in the playoffs last season.

Washington is down two excellent offensive linemen, too, with guard Brandon Scherff and center Chase Roullier both out. Roullier suffered a broken leg in Washington's last game. There's a major gap between Roullier and his replacement, Tyler Larsen.

The Buccaneers are No. 2 in stopping the run and their secondary is getting healthier. I don't see Heinicke being able to keep up with Brady.