The Oilers were able to get past the Kings and Flames so far in these Stanley Cup playoffs despite subpar goaltending by washed-up Mike Smith. But I don't see Smith, who has allowed three or more goals in seven of 11 playoff games, holding down the fort against the Avalanche. 

Edmonton has been able to get away with shoddy defense and goaltending because of its high-powered offense. Colorado, however, has an offense as good as the Oilers plus a much stronger defense. 

Edmonton scored a league-best 4.33 goals per game. Colorado was right behind the Oilers at 4.30 goals a game. The Oilers have two superstar point producers, Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, to Edmonton's lone offensive superstar, Nathan MacKinnon. Colorado, however, has better scoring depth and its defenders have been the best in the playoffs at limiting shots on goals, limiting scoring chances and high danger opportunities. 

The Oilers don't have an answer for Colorado's star blue liner Cale Makar, who can control the action. Devon Toews gives Colorado the second best defenseman on the ice, too. 

This Game 1 is a home  statement game for the Avalanche. I see them doing that with a multiple goal victory.