Having lost nine of their last 11 games, the Royals are now tied with the Reds for the worst record in baseball at 16-31.

So I don't find this price too high to back the Guardians at home. Cleveland has proven to be a reliable home favorite winning 40 of the past 57 times in that role.
The pitching matchup is Daniel Lynch versus Cal Quantrill.

Lynch has a 3.92 ERA. He hasn't gone longer than six innings in any of his eight starts this season. That's important because the Royals have the second-worst bullpen ERA in the majors. Lynch has made three career starts against the Guardians. All came last season. His ERA in those outings was 7.24.

Quantrill has a 3.42 ERA. He's given up three runs in his last two starts spanning 13 innings. The righthander is 4-0 lifetime versus the Royals with a 2.83 ERA in seven appearances, including four starts. He's backed by a far superior bullpen. The Guardians are 12-0 when leading after six innings. Kansas City is 7-19 in its last 26 games versus a righty starter.

Cleveland has dominated the Royals at home winning 17 of the past 23 times.

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is a blazing 25-8 on his premium plays the past 11 days, including going 4-0 on his premium/free Monday plays.)