Playing in Miami's high humidity during September is never fun. The Patriots know this too well. Miami is 4-1 SU and ATS the past five years hosting New England. The Patriots have failed to cover in eight of their last 10 visits to Miami. The Dolphins have been strong as favorites covering 14 of the last 19 times (74 percent) in that role.

The Patriots' offense is in transition with the departure of ace offensive coordinator Josh McDaniels and quarterback coach Mick Lombardi. The Patriots had trouble moving the ball during training camp and in preseason when their starting offense managed just a touchdown and field goal across seven series, four of which ended with three plays and out. Another series ended in a turnover. The Patriots' offensive line has been far from sharp and their skill position is well below par.

The Dolphins upgraded their attack. They've added more speed with Tyreek Hill, Chase Edmonds and Raheem Mostert. This should factor against a slower New England squad that lost a lot of defensive backfield talent. The Dolphins' offensive line is improved, too, with the additions of Terron Armstead and Connor Williams.