Stephen Nover's WNBA Total of the Month - 64% WNBA Winners
(WNBA) Las Vegas vs. Connecticut,
Total: 159.50 | -115.00 Over
Result: Win
The up-tempo pace was good in Game 2 of this WNBA championship series this past Tuesday. Kelsey Plum broke out of her shooting slump. 
Yet the total still went Under because the Sun uncharacteristically shot 42 percent from the floor, made only 3 of 14 3-point shots and hit just 67 percent of their free throws in losing, 85-71. The officials let a lot of rough play go without calling fouls. That didn't help the Under either.

The result of this is the oddsmaker has set the lowest total of the series for this Game 3. Early activity in the marketplace has knocked the total down even more.  

The Aces, the highest-scoring team in the WNBA at 90.4 points per game, are going to get their points. I see the Sun getting back to normal with their scoring returning home  having played the first two games in Las Vegas. Connecticut averages 85.8 points, third-best in the league, ranked No. 2 in field goal percentage at 46.2 and rated No. 3 in 3-point percentage at 35.4. The Sun also shoot 78.9 percent from the free throw line. 
Las Vegas is well-coached by Becky Hammon. But the Aces are not a strong defensive club. They lack Connecticut's height and don't have much depth. They win with offense. 

This is do-or-die for the Sun because the format is best-of-five and they are down 2-0. So there could be a lot of fouling at the end by the Sun if they are trailing.