Stephen Nover's MLB Total of the Month
(MLB) Detroit vs. Chi White Sox,
Total: 7.50 | -109.00 Over
Result: Win
Perhaps swayed by the Tigers being one of the teams here, the oddsmaker opened this total too short. I'm expecting at least nine runs to be scored.

How's that?

The White Sox are facing a mediocre lefty starter while they are going with Lucas Giolito at home.

Giolito has a winning record and 158 strikeouts in 143 2/3 innings. These numbers hide the fact that Giolito has been a major disappointment this season with a 5.07 ERA and 1.49 WHIP. His ERA balloons up to 6.61 when pitching at home.

The Tigers scored a combined 16 runs in their previous two games before their last one.

Eduardo Rodriguez gets the call for Detroit. He's 3-5 with a 4.35 ERA. Worse, he's a southpaw. The White Sox have the highest batting average in the majors against lefties at .279. They also rank No. 1 against southpaws in on-base percentage.

The White Sox just saw Rodriguez six days ago. Rodriguez has a 4.91 ERA during his past three starts. Detroit's bullpen was underrated earlier in the season, but it has regressed in part because of overwork. It no longer is dependable.