Only three teams smacked more homers during the season than the Astros. The Phillies just clubbed five homers in a 7-0 win on Tuesday. I question Christian Javier's postseason dependability and I feel Aaron Nola is overrated when pitching at home where his ERA is 3.53.

So I'm going Over this total with two well above average offenses in a hitter's ballpark. 

Javier had a 12.00 ERA in three appearances against the Braves in last year's World Series. This is his first World Series start. 

Nola isn't in good form giving up 11 runs in his past two starts spanning nine innings.