I have the Oilers going for me in this Game 3. If my handicap is correct, then I don't see a low-scoring game. So that is the basis for me liking the Over.

Edmonton has been stopped by the great goaltending of Sergei Bobrovsky. But now the Oilers get to play at home. Bobrovsky can only get worse. Being home should rejuvenate the Oilers, who are in must-win mode down 2-0 in the series.

The Oilers are averaging four goals a game in their nine Stanley Cup home games. They have a top-four offense and one of the most deadly power plays. Florida has killed off all seven of the Oilers' power-play opportunities during the series. I see that changing here.