We really like the favorite in this matchup. The line seems off when you consider that Florida is being undervalued after failing to cover the spread in three straight games, including last week's 33-20 loss as a 3½-point underdog to Texas A&M. This creates an opportunity to capitalize on the market's overreaction. The Mississippi State Bulldogs are also looking to bounce back from an upset loss to Toledo, but it will be tough as an underdog against a motivated Gators team.

This is a 5% play on Florida on the spread.