ROB VINCILETTI: NBA WEST CONF. TOTAL OF THE MONTH
(NBA) Minnesota vs. Denver,
Total: 226.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
The NBA Western Conference total is on the under in the Minnesota at Denver game. Rotation numbers 711/712 at 10:35 Eastern. Simulation models have this game at around 217 which immediately caught our attention with a 9 point line value as this ones in the mid 220/s. The Nuggets are 14 of 19 in division games and 4 of 5 off a win. The Wolves have 3 days rest since allowing 60% from the field in a home blowout loss their 2nd worst defensive effort of the season. They have stayed under in 6 of 9 on the road with a 220 or higher total. To the database where we see that any home favorite of 5 or more since 1995 with a 200 or higher total that scored 100 or more as a home favorite, in vs an opponent that lost to the spread by 21 or more as a home dog like the Wolves have stayed under 90% of the time and is perfect if our home team did not cover. Look for this game to stay under tonight.