Ricky's 7* play on AVL.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Aston Villa are 9-2-1 in their last 12 home matches.

- Nottingham Forest are 2-7-3 in their last road matches.

- Aston Villa are 2-1-1 in the last meetings.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.