This is a 10* NFC SOUTH TOY on the OVER Bucs/Saints.

Here's a great situational play. Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games to open the season, but I'm finally expecting some offensive fireworks here between these division rivals.

Both teams are 2-1, so the winner will have a firm hold of the division lead. After B2B wins to open the season, Tampa is off a 25-11 home loss to Philadelphia. New Orleans also opened with two straight wins before falling apart in last week's 18-17 loss at Green Bay.

The Saints have two straight on the road after this, both favorable matchups (Pats/Texans), so a victory here could see the team off to an extremely strong start to the season.

Same could be said for Baker Mayfield and the Bucs as well though, who will have their by week after this.

I think the oddsmakers are making a mistake here, and this number is definitely much too low.

The play is the OVER.

(Additional analysis available)

Good luck, NP