10* THURSDAY PRIME-TIME TOTAL - 13-3 YTD!
(NFL) Jacksonville vs. New Orleans,
Total: 40.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* PRIME-TIME TOTAL on the OVER Jags/Saints.

I think this non-conference game will be completely wide-open offensively and I expect this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later.

The Saints are 3-3 and the Jags 4-3 and the Saints are 3-3.

New Orleans has seen the total go UNDER the number in all six of its games so far this year, but that fact has only helped in driving this particular Thursday total a couple of points lower than it normally would/should be in my opinion.

The Saints' defense looked great over the first 1/4 of the season, but it sure came back down to Earth vs. CJ Stroud and the Texans last week. Granted, it was only 20 points, but c'mon, it was a rookie QB we're talking about here!

The Jaguars are rolling and Trevor Lawrence is coming off a huge game in hammering the Colts 37-20 on Sunday. Lawrence banged up his knee and is having an MRI, but he's expected to get the start here. CJ Beathard is his backup, but whoever gets the start, this O/U line has already been adjusted to take this situation into account. Whoever gets the start, I still really love this play.

The Jags have 15 takeaways this year, which leads the NFL. This is a team that can hurt you in every phase.

The Saints as I say have looked great defensively so far, but last week Derek Carr had his best yardage game so far in New Orleans with 353 yards. His team was 0 for 3 in the redzone, but now here at home, I expect those numbers to improve dramatically.

On the short week, I believe it's going to be the defensive units that suffer the most in this contest.

This number is low, the play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP