This is a 10* SEC TOY on the UNDER Georgia/Vanderbilt.

Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games to open the season, but I'm finally expecting a more defensive affair here.

Vanderbilt is 2-5 SU, but 0-7 ATS. It's seen the O/U go 6-0-1 this year.

Georgia is 6-0 SU and it's seen the total go OVER in three straight after last week's 51-13 win over Kentucky (note though that the Bulldogs have seen the total go UNDER the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight OVERS in a row.)

Georgia QB Carson Beck had 389 yards and four TD's in the win over Kentucky last week. The defense though was likely even more impressive in holding the Wildcats to just 13 points. I can't see Vanderbilt even scoring ten in this game

In fact, when these teams played last year, Georgia won by a score of 55-0. I foresee a slightly smaller combined score this time around though. Last week the Commodores fell 38-14 to Florida, and I expect a similar final combined score in this one as well. QB Ken Seals remains a bright spot for Vandy, but his line is going to be decimated today, he's going to be running for his life from start to finish. Last week the Commodores were just 1-of-10 on third-down tries.

When you add it all up, this total is definitely high. The play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP