This is a 10* NON-CONF TOTAL OF WEEK on the UNDER Arizona State/Texas State.

Both teams have been involved in some higher-scoring affairs to open the season, but I am expecting more of a defensive affair here finally on Thursday night.

Texas State is 2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS and it's seen the total go OVER the number in both of its games so far this season.

ASU is 2-0 SU/ATS and it's seen the total go 1-1 so far, despite having combined for 78 points this season.

Bettors are looking at the early numbers these two teams have posted, but I'll caution in overreacting. This one sets up well from a situational standpoint to be a lower-scoring battle.

ASU can't look past this opportunity with a tough game at Texas Tech up next. Texas State though has an extended break before a neutral site game vs. Sam Houston State.

Neither team has really been challenged yet, but with a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers are expecting a competitive battle finally here in Week 3.

I believe it will be as well, but a much more defensive one than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

A great situational play on the UNDER.

Good luck, NP