This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on Saint Mary's.

I look for Saint Mary's to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion.

Pepperdine is 6-9 after back-to-back losses. It's been competitive in defeat of late, most recently falling 89-82 to Gonzaga as a 20.5-point underdog.

The Waves will finally be favorites in their next game vs. the Tigers, and I believe they'll stumble with their effort here finally after the "close but no cigar" effort vs. the Zags.

Saint Mary's is 11-3 after beating Pacific here 70-60. The Gaels have lost five straight ATS, but note that looking back they're a sharp 7-3 ATS in their last ten after playing to five or more straight ATS losses in a row.

This is a big mismatch. The Waves have been cashing spreads of late, but now I say they're getting too much respect here. I believe the Gael's will indeed keep the pressure on until the final horn sounds, and because of that, I'm laying the points.

The play is SAINT MARY'S.

Good luck, NP