10* BIG TEN TOTAL OF MONTH: 214-167 ALL RUN!
(NCAAB) Trojans (USC) vs. Boilermakers (PUR),
Total: 146.50 | -115.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is a 10* BIG TEN TOM on the UNDER USC/Purdue.

These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but the overall situation that each finds itself in entering this one, combined with some other relevant O/U ATS trends that support us here, all do indeed finally point to more of a defensive affair here on Friday night.

USC is 13-9 after a 77-75 loss at Northwestern in its last outing. The Trojans have seen the total go OVER in eight of their last nine, which is why the general betting public is quick to once again back another high-scoring affair here.

And so, clearly, this one appeals to my contrarian nature as well.

Purdue is 18-5 after three straight wins, most recently a 90-81 victory at Iowa. The Boilermakers have now seen the total eclipse the posted number in five straight, but note that looking back Purdue has in fact seen the total go UNDER in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight OVERS in a row.

The oddsmakers are not giving the Trojans much of a chance here. I'm expecting a much slower-paced affair than what they're trying to lead us to believe though overall, and so the play here is on the UNDER.

Good luck, NP