AAA's 10* *Patriots/Colts* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER!
(NFL) New England vs. Indianapolis,
Total: 58.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between the New England Patriots and the Indianapolis Colts.

Neither of these teams are known for their defensive prowess, but I believe the conditions are right for a lower-scoring battle and definitely feel that the value in this contest lies on the UNDER. QB's Peyton Manning and Andrew Luck face off in the Sunday nighter, but I think it will be the defenses and special teams which get the most recognition in tomorrow's summary headlines. The Pats come in off their bye week after beating the Broncos at home. The Colts are coming off a 40-24 win over the Giants on November 3rd and are also coming into this contest off their bye week. As good as Indianapolis QB Andrew Luck has been, for some reason he's had difficulties vs. the Patriots whenever he's faced them and New England is coming off a great defensive performance vs. Peyton Manning, holding the prolific pivot to a season-low 80.9 passer rating. From a trend based stand point, there is no question that this is a sound play, note that the Pats have seen the total go UNDER the number in four of their last five road games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5, while the Colts have seen it dip below the posted number in five of their last seven as a home favorite of 3 points or less and in 12 of their last 21 in front of the home town crowd overall. This can still be a higher-scoring game and fall below this sky-high number and that's exactly what I'm expecting; play on the UNDER.

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