AAA's *Steelers/Titans* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER!
(NFL) Pittsburgh vs. Tennessee,
Total: 45.50 | -109.00 Under
Result: Win
This is an 8* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the OVER between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Tennessee Titans

For a number of different reasons, I believe this total will sail above the posted number. Pittsburgh was on an offensive surge before laying an egg in last week's 20-13 loss to a New York Jets team which was just 1-8 coming in. It's interesting to note, the Steelers have been outscored 88-26 in the first quarter while on the road this year. In fact, Pittsburgh has allowed an NFL-high 36 points on its opponents' first offensive possession. Tennessee will surely be looking to take advantage of that fact and to atone for last week's listless setback as well, the Titans would rack up 142 yards and a 7-0 lead after the first quarter, only to then throw it in neutral the rest of the way in the eventual 21-7 loss to Baltimore. Tennesse QB Zach Mettenberger has an opportunity today, the Steelers have allowed four of the five QB's they've faced on the road to post a passer rating of at least 109.3. We know what Ben Roethlisberger is capable of, and he'll be looking for his run game to get untracked today; a date vs. the porous Titans line is just what the doctor ordered as Tennessee has given up an AFC-worst 4.53 YPC since October, including 363 yards and four TD's in its last two losses. Note that Pittsburgh has seen the total eclipse the posted number in four of six this year when playing the role of favorite, while Tennessee has seen it go OVER the number in eight of its last 13 after two or more consecutive SU losses. The situation, the numbers and the trends all do indeed point to the OVER as the sharp move in this one.

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