AAA's 10* AFC EAST TOTAL OF YEAR (EASILY NAILED G.O.Y. LAST WEEK!)
(NFL) Miami vs. NY Jets,
Total: 41.50 | -105.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is a 10* AFC EAST TOTAL OF THE YEAR on the OVER between the Miami Dolphins and the New York Jets.

While neither of these teams has been lighting up the scoreboard of late, I definitely feel the conditions are right for a higher-scoring shootout today and expect this total to eclipse the number as the game comes down the stretch. The Fish are coming off a couple of close losses and will be eager to take advantage of the hapless Jets, we can expect Miami to open up the playbook as it looks to establish the early lead. Miami would losi 39-36 at Denver last Sunday, it was its first loss after entering the fourth quarter with a lead of more than 10 in 14 years. Miami is still very much alive in the Playoff picture though, it sits one game behind a five-team group which is fighting for the two wild-card positions. If history is any precedence, then the Dolphins have to be loving their chances today as they've won five of the last six road meetings in the series. Miami QB Ryan Tannehill ranks third in the league with a 70.9 completion percentage and has thrown 12 TD's to three INT's in his last six games (it's interesting to note that the Fish have outscored opponents 231-137 in the first three quarters). That doesn't bode well for a Jets defense which ranks 30th in the league in giving up an average of 27.5 PPG. Last week New York lost 38-3 to the Bills in Detroit on Monday. The home side turns back to QB Geno Smith who hasn't started since a 43-23 loss to Buffalo on October 26th. Smith will be leaning heavily on his running game, note that before managing just 92 last week, New York had averaged 170.5 rushing yards in a four game stretch (note that Miami gave up a season-high 201 rushing yards last week as well). Smith will also benefit from some timely injuries, as Miami CB's Jamar Taylor and Cortland Finnegan are both out with injuries. Note that Miami has seen the total soar above the number in its last two Monday Night games, while New York has seen it go OVER the number in two of three vs. division opponents this season. In my opinion, all signs do indeed point to the OVER as the savvy move here.

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