AAA's 10* TOTAL "ART OF WAR!" (+$51,216 NBA RUN CONT!)
(NBA) Dallas vs. LA Lakers,
Total: 202.00 | -103.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOTAL ART OF WAR on the OVER between the Dallas Mavericks and the LA Lakers.

For a number of different reasons I expect this total to sail above the posted number once the final horn sounds. Dallas has seen the total go UNDER the number in ten straight games. The Lakers have seen the total go UNDER the number in two straight. The last time these teams played together, Dallas would pull off the 102-98 win, the total staying well below the posted number of 215. ALL of these UNDER trends collide on Sunday night, clearly swinging the value to the higher number in my opinion. Dallas gets a big boost today with the expected return of Chandler Parsons, the offense has averaged just 91.1 points in seven games since he went down with injury, 15.0 fewer than in the team's first 57 contests. The recent slide in offensive production has led to four losses in five games for the Mavericks, dropping to sixth in the West Conference. Dallas now closes a three-game trip after losing its first two by a combined 34 points, including Friday's 104-89 setback to Golden State. The Mavs need to take advantage of this spot, they start a season-high five-game homestand that includes matchups with Cleveland, the Clippers, the Thunder and Grizzlies. LA closed a three-game road trip by failing to hold a double-digit lead in Friday's 97-90 loss to Memphis; note that the Lakers had won back to back home games before a 108-101 setback to OKC on Sunday. Also note that Dallas has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last nine road games when the total is between 200 and 204 1/2 points, while LA has seen it eclipse the posted number in 15 of 28 home games, in 12 of 21 after three or more consecutive SU losses and in 18 of 33 vs. teams with winning records. In my opinion, the situation, the numbers and the trends do all indeed point to the OVER as the savvy move in this contest.

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