PREMIUM
AAA's EAST-COAST EXPRESS (ALL AABBOOAARRDD!)
(NBA) Boston vs. New York,
Point Spread: 2.50 | -115.00 Boston (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 2.50 | -115.00 Boston (Away)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Boston Celtics.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Desperation breeds motivation: The Celtics defeated the Knicks 100-91 on December 27th, but have since lost five of six since. New York has won five of seven since that setback to Boston. This is one of those circumstances in which we feel the "revenge" factor is going to be over-rated, as Boston will be playing with utter desperation as it looks to break the slide, therefore negating any "revenge" advantages that the Knicks may have normally had in this spot.
ATS statistics: Note that Boston is 11-7 ATS on the road this year and 2-0 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses, while New York is just 2-4 ATS following a victory by ten points or more this season and only 3-4 ATS as a home fav of three points or less.
The bottom line: Sometimes we keep it simple and for us, it simply comes down to these two factors: we ultimately feel that New York is set up for a classic letdown after the recent surge, while Boston's desperation level will turn out to be the difference in the end; play on the CELTICS.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Desperation breeds motivation: The Celtics defeated the Knicks 100-91 on December 27th, but have since lost five of six since. New York has won five of seven since that setback to Boston. This is one of those circumstances in which we feel the "revenge" factor is going to be over-rated, as Boston will be playing with utter desperation as it looks to break the slide, therefore negating any "revenge" advantages that the Knicks may have normally had in this spot.
ATS statistics: Note that Boston is 11-7 ATS on the road this year and 2-0 ATS after three or more consecutive SU losses, while New York is just 2-4 ATS following a victory by ten points or more this season and only 3-4 ATS as a home fav of three points or less.
The bottom line: Sometimes we keep it simple and for us, it simply comes down to these two factors: we ultimately feel that New York is set up for a classic letdown after the recent surge, while Boston's desperation level will turn out to be the difference in the end; play on the CELTICS.
AAA Sports
