PREMIUM
AAA's WEST-COAST EXPRESS (ALL AABBOOAARRDD!)
(NBA) Oklahoma City vs. Minnesota,
Point Spread: 11.00 | -105.00 Minnesota (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 11.00 | -105.00 Minnesota (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* EXPRESS on the Minnesota Timberwolves.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Cracks in the armour: The Thunder are 26-12, but have shown some signs of fatigue of late, they'd have to hold on for a 117-113 win over the Lakers on Friday and then fell 115-110 to the Blazers on Sunday, allowing Portland to hit 19 3-pointers.
Defense slipping: OKC has given up 108.6 PPG over its last eight.
Desperation breeds motivation: Minnesota has lost six-straight: "We're trying not to let a losing mentality set in," Wolve's veteran Andre Miller assessed. "It's tough. We have a lot of young guys, a lot of inexperienced guys, and we're just trying to go out there and put a good 48 minutes together on both ends of the court. ... We've gotta figure out how we're gonna get the monkey off our back."
Revenge: To say this is a revenge game would be a bit of an understatement, as the Thunder have won seven straight in the series and 16 of the last 18 overall.
ATS statistics: Note that OKC is just 4-13 ATS this year vs. teams with losing records and only 1-7 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite, while Minnesota is 30-27 ATS in its last 57 after playing to three or more consecutive SU losses.
The bottom line: With a game tomorrow night at home vs. Dallas, it's certainly not too hard to imagine the Thunder "looking past" the lowly Wolves today and when taking into account the rest of the above factors listed above, all signs do indeed point to MINNESOTA as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Cracks in the armour: The Thunder are 26-12, but have shown some signs of fatigue of late, they'd have to hold on for a 117-113 win over the Lakers on Friday and then fell 115-110 to the Blazers on Sunday, allowing Portland to hit 19 3-pointers.
Defense slipping: OKC has given up 108.6 PPG over its last eight.
Desperation breeds motivation: Minnesota has lost six-straight: "We're trying not to let a losing mentality set in," Wolve's veteran Andre Miller assessed. "It's tough. We have a lot of young guys, a lot of inexperienced guys, and we're just trying to go out there and put a good 48 minutes together on both ends of the court. ... We've gotta figure out how we're gonna get the monkey off our back."
Revenge: To say this is a revenge game would be a bit of an understatement, as the Thunder have won seven straight in the series and 16 of the last 18 overall.
ATS statistics: Note that OKC is just 4-13 ATS this year vs. teams with losing records and only 1-7 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite, while Minnesota is 30-27 ATS in its last 57 after playing to three or more consecutive SU losses.
The bottom line: With a game tomorrow night at home vs. Dallas, it's certainly not too hard to imagine the Thunder "looking past" the lowly Wolves today and when taking into account the rest of the above factors listed above, all signs do indeed point to MINNESOTA as the savvy move in this contest.
AAA Sports
