PREMIUM
AAA's 10* *RED DRAGON* +$40,000 NBA RUN CONTINUES!
(NBA) Atlanta vs. Charlotte,
Point Spread: 3.50 | -115.00 Charlotte (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 3.50 | -115.00 Charlotte (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 10* RED DRAGON on the Charlotte Hornets.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge factor: Charlotte has dropped both meetings to Atlanta already this year (note that neither was a blowout, a 97-94 on October 30th and 94-92 two days later).
Letdown spot: This is a classic letdown spot for the visitors after they ended Chicago's six-game win streak with a 120-105 victory on Saturday.
Desperation leads to motivation: Despite being down big man Al Jefferson, the Hornets will be risking life and limb today in trying to snap a seven-game slide: "It's the defense, obviously," coach Steve Clifford said. "We've got to get back to, in the games 12 through 23, we were the second-best defensive team in the league against a good schedule so we're capable of much better."
ATS statistics: Note that Atlanta has in fact struggled in this spot for bettors, just 4-5 ATS after a victory by ten points or more, only 6-9 ATS after scoring 105 points or more and 7-9 ATS vs. teams with losing records. And not that this is a position in which Charlotte has performed extremely well in, going 3-1 ATS this season as a home dog of three points or less and 4-2 ATS when playing with two days of rest.
The bottom line: With a game tomorrow night in Milwaukee, we think the Hawks come in a bit distracted, leaving the door open for CHARLOTTE to finally break its slide.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge factor: Charlotte has dropped both meetings to Atlanta already this year (note that neither was a blowout, a 97-94 on October 30th and 94-92 two days later).
Letdown spot: This is a classic letdown spot for the visitors after they ended Chicago's six-game win streak with a 120-105 victory on Saturday.
Desperation leads to motivation: Despite being down big man Al Jefferson, the Hornets will be risking life and limb today in trying to snap a seven-game slide: "It's the defense, obviously," coach Steve Clifford said. "We've got to get back to, in the games 12 through 23, we were the second-best defensive team in the league against a good schedule so we're capable of much better."
ATS statistics: Note that Atlanta has in fact struggled in this spot for bettors, just 4-5 ATS after a victory by ten points or more, only 6-9 ATS after scoring 105 points or more and 7-9 ATS vs. teams with losing records. And not that this is a position in which Charlotte has performed extremely well in, going 3-1 ATS this season as a home dog of three points or less and 4-2 ATS when playing with two days of rest.
The bottom line: With a game tomorrow night in Milwaukee, we think the Hawks come in a bit distracted, leaving the door open for CHARLOTTE to finally break its slide.
AAA Sports
