PREMIUM
AAA's BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT (LAY IT & CASH IT!)
(NHL) Edmonton vs. San Jose,
Money Line: -176.00 San Jose (Home)
Result: Win
Money Line: -176.00 San Jose (Home)
Result: Win
This is a 7* BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT on the San Jose Sharks.
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge factor: The last time these teams played, Edmonton would snag the 4-3 OT win on December 9th.
Edmonton road woes: The team has been abysmal away from friendly confines, it comes to San Jose having lost six straight on the road.
Brutal goaltending for the Oilers: Anders Nilsson has lost four straight behind a 4.29 GAA.
If history is any precedence: Then the home side has to be loving its chances today, as note that the Sharks are 10-1-2 in their last 13 home games vs. Edmonton.
ATS statistics: Note that the Oilers are just 5-9 (-2.6 units) vs. the division, while San Jose is 13-10 (+2.5 units) in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.
The bottom line: Look for the Sharks to come in focus and to avenge the earlier setback against their former coach, lay the price with confidence on SAN JOSE.
AAA Sports
While we are primarily a situationally based handicapping service, we don't prescribe to any one single methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Revenge factor: The last time these teams played, Edmonton would snag the 4-3 OT win on December 9th.
Edmonton road woes: The team has been abysmal away from friendly confines, it comes to San Jose having lost six straight on the road.
Brutal goaltending for the Oilers: Anders Nilsson has lost four straight behind a 4.29 GAA.
If history is any precedence: Then the home side has to be loving its chances today, as note that the Sharks are 10-1-2 in their last 13 home games vs. Edmonton.
ATS statistics: Note that the Oilers are just 5-9 (-2.6 units) vs. the division, while San Jose is 13-10 (+2.5 units) in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.
The bottom line: Look for the Sharks to come in focus and to avenge the earlier setback against their former coach, lay the price with confidence on SAN JOSE.
AAA Sports
