AAA Sports' FREE PLAY
(NHL) Dallas vs. Chicago,
Total: 5.50 | -123.00 Under
Result: Win
1* Free Play OVER Stars/Hawks.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Recent history: Both teams are coming off some pretty high-scoring affairs: Chicago lost to San Jose 2-0 last time out, but previous to that had won 5-4 in OT at Arizona, before hammering the Stars 5-1 in Dallas. The visitors will be looking to avenge that loss, note the Dallas has seen the total go OVER the number in four straight games after having played to four straight UNDERs.

Antti Niemi: The former Blackhawks goaltender has a deplorable 4.02 GAA in losing seven consecutive starts in Chicago.

ATS statistics: Note that Dallas has seen the total go OVER the number in in six of ten this season in trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent, while Chicago has seen the total sail above the posted number in nine of 16 vs. teams with winning records.

The bottom line: A couple of the best in the West going head to head in this one, it was a high-scoring shootout when they got together last week and all signs do indeed point to another goal-fest; consider a second look at the OVER in this one.

AAA Sports