AAA's LATE-NIGHT BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT (Just $25!)
(NCAAB) Oregon State vs. Stanford,
Point Spread: -1.00 | -106.00 Stanford (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT on Stanford.

We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.

This particular play is based on a few different factors:

Desperation breeds motivation: We don't think the Cardinal will be throwing in the towel on the season, despite losing three in a row, we like the team to come out aggressive tonight. And if history is any precedence, then Stanford has to be liking its chances as it would defeat Oregon State 78-72 in the first meeting of the season.

Evenly matched: The Cardinal are just 11-10, while the Beavers are 14-8, but don't let their records fool you, these team's numbers are practically identical, as Stanford averages 70.5 PPG while giving up 69.7, while Oregon State averages 71.4 and allows 68.6.

ATS statistics: Note that Oregon State is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following an ATS victory and only and just 1-3 ATS off a win vs. a conference rival, while Stanford is already 2-0 ATS this year after three or more consecutive SU losses.

The bottom line: The CARDINAL play well at home, we peg them to be the much more motivated side and with the confidence in knowing that they've already beaten the Beavers this year, we look for them to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night.

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