FREE
AAA Sports' FREE PLAY
(NHL) Pittsburgh vs. Carolina,
Money Line: -105.00 Pittsburgh (Away)
Result: Win
Money Line: -105.00 Pittsburgh (Away)
Result: Win
1* Free Play Pittsburgh Penguins.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Momentum: The Pens would lose to the Hurricanes last month, but have since gone 5-2-2 and this time the team has goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury (13-9-1-2 lifetime vs. Carolina) and Kris Letang back in the lineup.
Dominant special teams: Since that loss to the Hurricanes, the Pens have killed off 25 man advantages out of 25 tries. Also note that Pittsburgh has gone 11 for 32 (34.4 percent) on the power play.
ATS statistics: Note that Pittsburgh is 7-5 (+2.2 units) this year after a loss by two goals or more in its previous game (a 3-0 loss to the Rangers), while Carolina is a brutal 11-20 (-7.8 units) in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.
The bottom line: Three strong factors (momentum, special teams play and strong and relevant ATS statistics) make the PENGUINS a very intriguing investment opportunity, especially at this price.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Momentum: The Pens would lose to the Hurricanes last month, but have since gone 5-2-2 and this time the team has goaltender Marc-Andre Fleury (13-9-1-2 lifetime vs. Carolina) and Kris Letang back in the lineup.
Dominant special teams: Since that loss to the Hurricanes, the Pens have killed off 25 man advantages out of 25 tries. Also note that Pittsburgh has gone 11 for 32 (34.4 percent) on the power play.
ATS statistics: Note that Pittsburgh is 7-5 (+2.2 units) this year after a loss by two goals or more in its previous game (a 3-0 loss to the Rangers), while Carolina is a brutal 11-20 (-7.8 units) in revenging a loss vs. an opponent.
The bottom line: Three strong factors (momentum, special teams play and strong and relevant ATS statistics) make the PENGUINS a very intriguing investment opportunity, especially at this price.
AAA Sports
