PREMIUM
AAA's VERY EARLY MVC ATS *ASSASSIN!* (MASSIVE ATS COVER!)
(NCAAB) Northern Iowa vs. Wichita State,
Point Spread: 14.00 | -106.00 Northern Iowa (Away)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 14.00 | -106.00 Northern Iowa (Away)
Result: Win
This is an 8* ASSASSIN on Northern Iowa.
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Surging Panthers: While NIU won't be headed to to the NCAA Tournament with a 15-11 SU overall record (7-6 in the MVC), it's certainly turned its season around, it enters this one on a five-game win streak, most recently beating Missouri 83-69 on Wednesday. Four players scored in double figures and Northern Iowa has now won eight straight when scoring at least 80 points. Note that defensively, NIU gives up 65.5 a night.
Letdown spot: The Shockers are rolling along, they're 12-1 in conference and it's just a matter of time until they lock up the regular season title. The team is also coming off a 74-48 win at Drake last Tuesday, its biggest ever victory on its home-court.
Revenge: No big surprise that the visitors will be playing with revenge today, they fell 74-55 to the Shockers on January 20th. Wichita State has in fact won eight of the last ten in the series, both SU and ATS.
ATS statistics: Note that Northern Iowa is 4-2 ATS this year off a win vs. a conference rival, while Wichita State is just 5-7 ATS this season after allowing 60 points or less.
The bottom line: The Panthers are not a push over, they've beaten North Carolina and Iowa State. And note, in the loss to the Shockers in January, Wichita State only led by six with about four minutes left to play. While we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for NORTHERN IOWA to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any one single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account a bunch of different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. The actual contestants on the field of play rarely enter into our equation when making selections, unless it's a Top 3 player like a LeBron James or Aaron Rodgers etc. One set of criteria which we almost always use when making our decisions, are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics. Sometimes these stats can be overrated and other times they help foreshadow the outcome of a contest.
This particular play is based on a few different factors:
Surging Panthers: While NIU won't be headed to to the NCAA Tournament with a 15-11 SU overall record (7-6 in the MVC), it's certainly turned its season around, it enters this one on a five-game win streak, most recently beating Missouri 83-69 on Wednesday. Four players scored in double figures and Northern Iowa has now won eight straight when scoring at least 80 points. Note that defensively, NIU gives up 65.5 a night.
Letdown spot: The Shockers are rolling along, they're 12-1 in conference and it's just a matter of time until they lock up the regular season title. The team is also coming off a 74-48 win at Drake last Tuesday, its biggest ever victory on its home-court.
Revenge: No big surprise that the visitors will be playing with revenge today, they fell 74-55 to the Shockers on January 20th. Wichita State has in fact won eight of the last ten in the series, both SU and ATS.
ATS statistics: Note that Northern Iowa is 4-2 ATS this year off a win vs. a conference rival, while Wichita State is just 5-7 ATS this season after allowing 60 points or less.
The bottom line: The Panthers are not a push over, they've beaten North Carolina and Iowa State. And note, in the loss to the Shockers in January, Wichita State only led by six with about four minutes left to play. While we won't be so bold as to call for an outright upset, we will in the end recommend grabbing as many points as you can as we look for NORTHERN IOWA to keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe.
AAA Sports
