AAA's EARLY 5-PLAY NFL PASS (w/ 10* AFC TOTAL OF YEAR! Now 33-12, 73% ALL NFL L8 SUNDAY'S!)
(NFL) New Orleans vs. San Francisco,
Point Spread: 4.50 | -105.00 San Francisco (Home)
Result: Loss
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco 49ers.

REASONING: New Orleans is two games behind the surging Falcons in the NFC South, but looks primed for a letdown after beating Seattle 25-20 at home last week. San Francisco has had a weeek off to prepare for this one after falling 34-17 to the Buccaneers in its last outing. We think the Saints come to town tired, they've won three of their last four and none have been of the easy variety, beating the Chargers by one, the Panthers by three and the Seahawks by five. QB Drew Brees continues to be a bright spot for the offense, he has 18 TD's to just five INT's thus far. San Francisco is a team looking for an identity. Blaine Gabbert was replaced by Colin Kaepernick and there's been a bit of a difference. Kaepernick hasn't looked horrible, in the loss to Tampa he had 143 yards and a score through the air, as well as adding an additional 84 yards on the ground off nine carries. He's a true dual threat and he's going to be able to make some plays today against the Saints "gassed' and already suspect secondary. Note that New Orleans is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten against teams with losing records and interestingly, 0-3-1 ATS in its last four contests played in the month of November, while San Francisco is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in its previous game. The 49ers have a capable head coach and we think he'll have his team ready to play today. This is a classic "trap" for the Saints, grab as many points as you can. Play on SAN FRANCISCO.

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