AAA Sports' FREE PLAY
(NBA) Miami vs. Cleveland,
Point Spread: -8.00 | -115.00 Cleveland (Home)
Result: Loss
1* Free Play Cleveland Cavaliers.

Two nights ago we gave you a free play on the Miami Heat, underdogs at home to the Cleveland Cavaliers. Shortly before game time it was announced that Cleveland would rest its starters in the second game of the back to back and Miami would go on to roll to a big victory. The "situation" and the numbers favored the home side anyways in our opinion and we we have loved the play still even if LeBron James and company were in fact starting.

Yesterday we gave you a play on the Sacramento Kings, 9 point underdogs at home to the Utah Jazz. Sacramento would go on to win the game out right as well. If you didn't get a chance to see the analysis for that winning selection, we believe it's worth a quick read:

Yesterday we gave you a free play on the Miami Heat. Miami actually opened as a 2-point underdog, but early betting swung it the other way, with the Heat then becoming the 2-point fav. Then shortly after that it was announced that the starters would be sitting for the Cavs and the line ballooned to -8. Miami would roll to a big victory in the end, but we would have still liked the Heat at +2 if LeBron James and company had in fact suited up for the visitors, instead of being rested in the second game of the back-to-back. And that's because the "situation" and the numbers were both working heavily in favor of Miami in our opinion. If you didn't get a chance to read the analysis on the Heat winner, we think it's worth a look right here:

If you're into stats and trends like us, then you'll definitely want to give the Heat a second look on Saturday night. Cleveland just won 135-130 in Atlanta last night. The Heat also played on Friday, but will be out to atone for a lacklustre 110-99 setback at Orlando. Note that Miami plays with revenge after falling 114-84 to the Cavs back on December 9th. Also note that Cleveland is just 3-8 ATS this year when playing on back-to-back days, while Miami is 9-2 ATS in the same position and 19-13 ATS in revenging a loss against an opponent. Consider the HEAT in this matchup.

The Jazz are the ones playing with revenge today, but note that they're just 13-14 ATS this season in trying to revenge a loss against an opponet. Also note that Utah is just 13-16 ATS on the road and only 8-11 ATS after a win by ten points or more. The Kings may be without DeMarcus Cousins, but they won't be going down without a fight, note that Sacramento is 8-2 ATS this year already after three or more consecutive SU losses and 2-0 ATS when playing with three or more days rest. Consider the Kings in this matchup.

Now here's a great spot for Cleveland to bounce back in. It's starters are rested and are ready to avenge the setback on Saturday and note, Miami is just 1-2 ATS in its last three after scoring 120 points or more, while the Cavs are 3-1 ATS this season after playing three consecutive road games.

We're expecting James to give no mercy to his former team tonight. The situation and trends favor the CAVALIERS in our professional opinion.

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