PREMIUM
SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION (+$5,000 ALL NHL YTD!)
(NHL) Detroit vs. Toronto,
Money Line: -175.00 Toronto (Home)
Result: Win
Money Line: -175.00 Toronto (Home)
Result: Win
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION on the Toronto Maple Leafs.
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on stong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Detroit is just 6-11 (-4.1 units) this year when playing with two days rest and only 8-18 (-9.9 units) after allowing four goals or more, while Toronto is 5-3 (+2.7 units) after three or more consecutive losses and 11-8 (+3 units) after allowing four goals or more.
The bottom line: The Wings come in with zero momentum, off consecutive defeats in Calgary and Edmonton. Goaltender Petr Mraze is 15-17-7 with a 2.97 GAA. Detroit averages just 2.40 GPG and allows 2.97. Toronto will be desperate here after getting its ass handed to it on its most recent road trip, losing to the Sharks, Kings and Ducks and five straight overall. The Leafs still average 3.02 GPG and allow 2.89. We're banking on the desperate home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on TORONTO.
AAA Sports
We don't subscribe to any single handicapping methodology, but instead feel that being flexible with ones approach is the best way to secure profits over the longterm. Sometimes we keep it simple, while other times we'll take into account numerous different factors, like motivation, scheduling and significant injuries. Recognizing classic "spot bets" is something we always do as well, IE: the "look ahead" spot, the "let down" spot and the "trap" game. One set of criteria which we always use when making our decisions are Against The Spread (ATS) statistics.
This particular play is based primarily on stong/relevant ATS statistics:
As note that Detroit is just 6-11 (-4.1 units) this year when playing with two days rest and only 8-18 (-9.9 units) after allowing four goals or more, while Toronto is 5-3 (+2.7 units) after three or more consecutive losses and 11-8 (+3 units) after allowing four goals or more.
The bottom line: The Wings come in with zero momentum, off consecutive defeats in Calgary and Edmonton. Goaltender Petr Mraze is 15-17-7 with a 2.97 GAA. Detroit averages just 2.40 GPG and allows 2.97. Toronto will be desperate here after getting its ass handed to it on its most recent road trip, losing to the Sharks, Kings and Ducks and five straight overall. The Leafs still average 3.02 GPG and allow 2.89. We're banking on the desperate home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Play on TORONTO.
AAA Sports
