10* AL NON-DIV GAME OF YEAR: 67% L7 DAYS ALL!
(MLB) Astros (HOU) vs. Orioles (BAL),
Money Line: -104.00 Orioles (BAL) (Home)
Result: Loss
10* Orioles (AL NON-DIV GOY)

We think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the home side. It's a great price. We really respect Yusei Kikuchi (2-0, 2.42 ERA), who has been sharp for his new team since coming over from the Jays, but we feel that his sparkling numbers are unsustainable now moving forward. Dean Kremer (6-9, 4.30) counters for the home side. This is the finale of a four-game series. The Orioles are in a race with the Yanks for the division lead, but have used two come-from-behind efforts to win their L2 games, and now they're looking to wrap up this series before hitting the road for six straight. Houston leads the AL West, but it's dropped four of its last five. The Astros will still be without slugger Yordan Alvarez, who has a neck injury. Alex Bregman is also injured. Kikuchi is 6-9 with a 4.37 ERA overall. He's been rejuvenated since coming over from Toronto for the Astros, and he's had success vs. Houston throughout his career, but we still feel he's getting too much respect on the road here in this pressure-packed situation. Kremer has won his last two starts and he's 3-0 with a 1.14 ERA in three career starts vs. Houston. Baltimore at this price at home with Kremer on the mound is the correct call here and warrants a play of this magnitude; the play is Baltimore!

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