AAA's 10* ALDS GAME 1 "ASSASSIN!"
(MLB) Kansas City vs. Baltimore,
Money Line: -127.00 Baltimore (Home)
Result: Loss
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Baltimore Orioles.

I think Baltimore's bullpen will once again be crucial in this series and believe we're getting excellent value on the home side in this particular matchup. These teams get the job done differently, the Royals play small ball while the Orioles would finish the regular season with the most home runs. Chris Tillman gets the call for the home side; Tillman gave up two runs over five frames in a win in his playoff debut last week. Tillman is getting little respect here, he comes into this series on top form, going 6-1 while posting a tiny 2.14 ERA in August and September. The visitors counter with James Shields who gave up two runs over six frames in his team's ALDS clincher; note though that "Big Game James" hasn't lived up to his moniker of late, KC made a late-inning comeback to help him avoid a loss in the wild-card game, and note that his career playoff ERA is a ballooned 4.96. For the most part MLB handicapping comes down to the starting pitching; while we must also now take into account many other factors, I simply feel that Tillman continues to get disrespected by the oddsmakers and that the value is too great to turn down here; play on BALTIMORE.

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