AAA's EARLY *Dolphins/Bears* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER! 8-2 ALL SPORTS L2 DAYS!
(NFL) Miami vs. Chicago,
Total: 49.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is an 8* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between the Miami Dolphins and the Chicago Bears.

Five years ago, when I looked at these two teams, the first thing that would come to my mind is "under." That's not the case anymore though, each has gone through significant change and it may come as a surprise to learn that Miami has seen the total go OVER the number in four of five this year, including in three straight, while Chicago has seen it sail above the number in four of five to open the year as well, however its last game was an UNDER, a 27-13 win over Atlanta last week. The Bears have actually looked great on the road this year, uncharacteristically it's been their play at home which has hurt them and they'll be eager to avoid an 0-3 start at Soldier Field for the first time in 10 years. QB Jay Cutler had 381 yards last week, his most ever with this particular franchise, while RB Matt Forte continued his strong campaign with 157 total yards and two rushing TD's. Perhaps more impressively though, the banged up Chicago defense would hold Atlanta to just 287 total yards and one major score. Playing at home though has resulted in two losses so far and a total of 37 points between the games and Cutler has been the main culprit; note that the oft-maligned Chicago pivot has thrown for nine TD's and two INT's to go along with a 104.6 passer rating on the road, compared to four TD's, four INT's and an 84.7 rating at home (and note that he's thrown three of those picks and owns a 58.1 QB rating after halftime in Chicago). It's true that Chicago receivers Alshon Jeffery and Brandon Marshall own a size advantage over the Miami CB's, but note that the Fish rank a very respectable eighth in the league vs. the pass, giving up an average of just 221.6 YPG. Miami will certainly be hungry here as well after the way it lost last week, allowing Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers to cap a 60 yard drive with a TD pass with 3 second left on the clock to fall 27-24. Miami's offense is centered around its run game, it ranks sixth in the league and third in YPC; the Bears though have looked strong against the run of late in giving up a total of 288 yards and 3.24 per attempt in the last three contests combined. Chicago's secondary catches a break today though, Miami QB Ryan Tannehill ranks near the bottom of the league in completion percentage and passer rating and has thrown four TD's and three picks over his last two games. Note that Miami has seen the total go UNDER the number in five of its last seven away from friendly confines, while Chicago has seen it dip below the number in three of its last five as a home favorite of three points or less. In my opinion, all signs point to the UNDER as the savvy wager in this contest.

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