Play: Under
Rating: 10/10*

Both the Atlanta Braves and the Chicago Cubs have come out of the All Star break swinging hot bats. The under is however 7-2-1 in the last 10 meetings at Atlanta, and I think we'll see another low-scoring contest Monday night.

Atlanta's Julio Teheran (7-6, 4.79 ERA) has allowed just two runs on seven hits in 13 1/3 innings of work in two starts here in July. He is 2-0 with a 3.11 ERA in six career starts against Chicago and the current Cubs are batting just a combined .178 through 45 at bats against him.

The Cubs hand the ball to Jon Lester (5-6, 4.25 ERA) who was 1-0 with a 0.64 ERA in two outings against the Braves last season and 4-1 with a 1.95 ERA in five career meetings. The All Star break came at a perfect time for the 33 year old who had been knocked around in back-to-back home starts against Tampa Bay and Pittsburgh (nine earned runs in 5 2/3 innings). I expect him to be fully focused on the task at hand tonight.

Under is 11-3-1 in the Braves' last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record and 10-3 in the Cubs' last 13 road games.