The San Diego State Aztecs are 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS on the season and they defeated Stanford 20-17 as an 8-point dog last week. San Diego State boasts a strong defense that has allowed just 18 points and 300 yards per contest and here it'll face an Air Force side it has owned in recent seasons, going 6-1 ATS against through the last seven meetings.

Air Force is 1-1 SU on the season but has covered the spread in both games, including a cover as a 23-point dog in last week's 29-13 loss at Michigan. It's a different thing to cover the spread as a massive dog than a smaller spread like this though, and I think they'll come up short in this contest.

Keep an eye on San Diego State's RB Rashaad Penny who has earned all three Mountain West Conference's Offensive Player of the Week awards on the season. He has 71 carries for 588 yards and four scores and we can note that the Falcons gave up 190 yards on the ground to Michigan last week.

We can also note that the Aztecs are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 conference games while the Falcons are 1-6 ATS in their last seven conference games.

My selection is an 8* play on San Diego State Aztecs.