The over is 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings and 15-7 in the last 22 meetings at Kauffman Stadium. Both starting pitchers have struggled all season long and I think we'll see plenty of runs here.

The Royals hand the ball to Jason Hammel (8-13, 5.32 ERA) who has been lit up to the tune of 19 runs (18 earned) on 29 hits in just 12 2/3 frames through his last three starts combined. Hammel is 3-2 with a 6.27 ERA in 13 career appearances (10 starts) against Detroit. Over is 6-1-1 in the Tigers last eight games vs. a right-handed starter.

The Tigers turn to Jordan Zimmermann (8-13, 6.19 ERA) who has good career numbers against KC, but he is 0-2 with an 8.00 ERA in his first two September starts, allowing eight runs on 17 hits over nine innings. Zimmermann has battled back problems all season and over is 25-12-2 in his last 39 starts overall (14-3 last 17 starts against American League Central opponents).

KC is expected to sit some players after being officially eliminated from playoff contention last night, but I still think the teams will combine enough runs to push this game over the posted total with ease.

My selection is an 8* play on Over.